As a macroeconomist, I love seeing economics put to use. Combining empirical microdata analysis with structural macroeconomic modeling, I work with governments, public agencies and research institutions to help ground policy decisions in frontier economic research.
Consulting & Policy Appointments
2025–presentAustralian Treasury, Competition and Consumer Policy Division, Expert Advisor
2022–presente61 Institute, Senior Academic Fellow
2019–presentGovernment Office of the Czech Republic, Evaluator
2020–2021European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Expert
2018–2022European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Expert
2018–2019CDC Group, the UK’s development finance institution, Consultant
Policy Reports & Tools
EU Start-up Calculator
EU Start-up Calculator: Impact of COVID-19 on Aggregate Employment. Scenario for Austria, Belgium, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Spain
EU Start-up Calculator: Impact of COVID-19 on Aggregate Employment. Scenario for Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal and Sweden
EU Start-up Calculator: Impact of COVID-19 on Aggregate Employment. Scenario for Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia
How Job Creation Fits into the Broader Development Challenge
Startups and Young Firms in the Economy
Research in Brief
Is There an Economic Case for Supporting Voluntary Unemployment?
Between 15% and 35% of people who leave a job do so voluntarily, and excluding them from unemployment insurance may weaken job matching across the labor market as a whole.
This Start-up Calculator Can Predict the Employment Impact of Recessions
A short-lived collapse in the number of new businesses can depress employment for more than a decade, and this tool puts numbers on it country by country.
The Macroeconomic Footprint of the Elons
Serial entrepreneurs run a small share of businesses but account for a disproportionate share of job creation and productivity growth.
Demand-Driven Growth
Firms have to win customers before they can profit from innovating, which makes market size — not productivity alone — a driver of which businesses grow and how fast the economy does.
Is There a Jobs Vaccine?
Pandemic support required a business to already exist, so it bypassed the startups that create most new jobs — leaving a dent in employment that may not close until 2030.
A Start-up Employment Calculator for COVID-19
Almost half of the long-run employment cost of the pandemic comes from the high-growth firms — “gazelles” — that were never founded during it.
Stable Genius: Estimating the ‘Trump Effect’ on the US Economy
Building a synthetic “doppelganger” US economy from other countries lets us ask how much of the post-2016 expansion Trump actually caused — and finds little evidence of an effect.
Disappearing Gazelles: New Evidence from Administrative Data
Most of the gap between startups that take off and startups that stall is already set at founding, and the high-growth ones have been disappearing since the mid-1980s.
£300 Million a Week: The Output Cost of the Brexit Vote
The referendum result alone cost the UK around 2% of output, mostly because households and firms revised down what they expected the economy to do.
Policy-Relevant Research
Firm Heterogeneity and the Aggregate Effects of Innovation Policy
Presented at The Treasury, the Department of Industry, Science and Resources and the OECD
Startups and Employment Following the COVID Pandemic: A Calculator
Commissioned research by the European Commission
The Macroeconomic Impact of Trump
The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment
Reviving American Entrepreneurship? Tax Reform and Business Dynamism
Invited by the Carnegie-Rochester-NYU Conference Series on Public Policy